Range + Verification

Most signal APIs stop after a direction call. Kronos leads with an 80% calibrated price range, risk state, and a decision_id when an agent wants to journal and audit a probabilistic setup.

The product loop is simple: read the range and risk context, log a decision only when useful, then verify the outcome.

Verified Loop

1. preflight  - check current conditions
2. decision   - journal setup + decision_id
3. audit      - verify outcome vs prices

Trust the process less. Verify the record more.

Kronos Products

Kronos Forecast — calibrated 80% price range
Kronos Signals — market context and freshness
Kronos Decision — probabilistic journal entry with a decision_id
Kronos Audit — outcome check against later prices
Kronos Risk — current risk state and cooldown context

Directional values are supporting context, not standalone trade instructions. Use them with the calibrated range, risk state, and audit record.

Directional Context

Positive	Bullish market context
Negative	Bearish market context
0.00-0.01	Weak magnitude
0.01-0.03	Moderate magnitude
0.03+	Strong magnitude

Directional values are supporting context, not standalone trade instructions. Use them with the calibrated range, risk state, and audit record.

Pricing

Endpoint	What it does	Price
Kronos Market Context
`/api/kronos/signals`	Kronos Signals — market context, score details, and freshness	$0.05
`/api/kronos/history`	Recent context history for analysis and audit support	$0.05
`/api/kronos/preflight`	Pre-decision conditions check — cooldowns, market state, freshness, warnings	$0.05
`/api/kronos/decision`	Kronos Decision — probabilistic journal entry with a decision_id	$0.15
`/api/kronos/audit`	Kronos Audit — verify prior decision outcome against real prices	$0.07
`/api/kronos/forecast`	Kronos Forecast — conformally-calibrated 80% price range (~0.80 empirical coverage)	$0.05
`/api/kronos/risk`	Current market risk state and cooldown context	$0.02

Examples

Latest market context KRONOS

# $0.05 USDC — current Kronos context and freshness
curl -i "https://kronos.forgemesh.io/api/kronos/signals"

Sample response (truncated)

{
  "ts": "2026-06-01T02:15:00.000Z",
  "timeframe": "15m",
  "regime": "chop",
  "signals": {
    "BTC/USD": -0.0118,
    "ETH/USD": -0.0042,
    "SOL/USD": 0.0067,
    "XRP/USD": -0.0021,
    "ADA/USD": 0.0014
  },
  "top_k": ["SOL/USD", "ADA/USD"],
  "signal_age_hours": 0.08,
  "data_freshness": "FRESH"
}

Journal a setup. Verify the outcome. KRONOS

# Decision — $0.15 USDC, returns decision_id for later audit
curl -i "https://kronos.forgemesh.io/api/kronos/decision?symbol=BTC"

Sample response (truncated)

{
  "decision_id": "9f3a2c41-7b6e-4a32-b2e4-1a72d5b8c901",
  "symbol": "BTC/USD",
  "directional_bias": "downward",
  "confidence": 0.51,
  "certainty": "PROBABILISTIC",
  "directional_edge": "none_demonstrated",
  "raw_signal": -0.0118,
  "regime": "chop",
  "risk_level": "NORMAL",
  "data_freshness": "FRESH",
  "next_step": {
    "endpoint": "/api/kronos/audit?decision_id=9f3a2c41-7b6e-4a32-b2e4-1a72d5b8c901&window=1h",
    "cost": "$0.07 USDC"
  }
}

Audit — was it right?

# Chain the audit call with the decision_id above
curl -i "https://kronos.forgemesh.io/api/kronos/audit?decision_id=9f3a2c41-7b6e-4a32-b2e4-1a72d5b8c901&window=1h"

Sample response (truncated)

{
  "decision_id": "9f3a2c41-7b6e-4a32-b2e4-1a72d5b8c901",
  "symbol": "BTC",
  "directional_bias": "downward",
  "confidence": 0.51,
  "evaluation_window": "1h",
  "prices": {
    "entry": 73508.21,
    "exit": 72102.44
  },
  "outcome": {
    "pnl_pct": -0.01912,
    "direction_correct": true,
    "verdict": "GOOD_DECISION"
  }
}

Not Financial Advice

Kronos provides algorithmic market context generated from market data — not human recommendations. Nothing on this page or returned by any Kronos endpoint constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.

Crypto markets are volatile. You can lose money. Directional bias alone has not been validated as a standalone trading strategy, and confidence scores are not certainty.

This service is for informational and experimental purposes only. Evaluate the underlying data and your own constraints before making financial decisions.

Kronos Market Intelligence